by Calculated Risk on 10/04/2025 08:11:00 AM

The key report scheduled for this week is the August Trade Deficit (Will not be released if government shutdown).

----- Monday, October 6th -----
No major economic releases scheduled.

----- Tuesday, October 7th -----
8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for August from the Census Bureau.  The consensus is for the deficit to be $61.4 billion in August, from $78.3 billion in July.

This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through the most recent report. The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum deficit, and the red line is the trade deficit ex-petroleum products.

2:00 PM: FOMC Minutes, Minutes Meeting of September 16-17, 2025

----- Wednesday, October 8th -----
7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

----- Thursday, October 9th -----
8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. 

----- Friday, October 10th -----
10:00 AM: University of Michigan's Consumer sentiment index (Preliminary for October).