by Calculated Risk on 8/19/2011 06:17:00 PM
Friday, August 19, 2011
Bank Failure #67: First Southern National Bank, Statesboro, Georgia
Finance stars, soon behind bars,
Down in Dixie Land
by Soylent Green is People
From the FDIC: Heritage Bank of the South, Albany, Georgia, Assumes All of the Deposits of First Southern National Bank, Statesboro, Georgia
As of June 30, 2011, First Southern National Bank had approximately $164.6 million in total assets and $159.7 million in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $39.6 million. ... First Southern National Bank is the 67th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the seventeenth in Georgia.The 17th failure in Georgia this year. Ouch.
Bank Failure #66: Lydian Private Bank, Palm Beach, Florida
by Calculated Risk on 8/19/2011 04:22:00 PM
There's no rest for the wicked
Bums rush to exits?
by Soylent Green is People
From the FDIC: Sabadell United Bank, National Association, Miami, Florida, Assumes All of the Deposits of Lydian Private Bank, Palm Beach, Florida
As of June 30, 2011, Lydian Private Bank had approximately $1.70 billion in total assets and $1.24 billion in total deposits. ... The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $293.2 million. ... Lydian Private Bank is the 66th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the tenth in Florida.This is a pretty large failure ...
On Track for Record Low Housing Completions in 2011
by Calculated Risk on 8/19/2011 01:18:00 PM
An update: The U.S. is on pace for a record low number of total housing completions this year, and the fewest net housing units added to the housing stock since the Census Bureau started tracking completions in the '60s.
Below is a table of net housing units added to the housing stock since 1990. Note: Tom Lawler thinks scrappage is closer to 250,000 units per year.
This means there will be a record low number of housing units added to the housing stock this year (good news with all the excess inventory), and that the overhang of excess inventory should decline significantly in 2011 depending on the rate of household formation (and that depends on jobs).
| Housing Units added to Stock (000s) | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 to 4 Units | 5+ Units | Manufactured Homes | Sub-Total | Demolitions / Scrappage | Total added to Stock | |
| 1990 | 1010.8 | 297.3 | 188.3 | 1496.4 | 200 | 1296.4 |
| 1991 | 874.4 | 216.6 | 170.9 | 1261.9 | 200 | 1061.9 |
| 1992 | 999.7 | 158 | 210.5 | 1368.2 | 200 | 1168.2 |
| 1993 | 1065.7 | 127.1 | 254.3 | 1447.1 | 200 | 1247.1 |
| 1994 | 1192.1 | 154.9 | 303.9 | 1650.9 | 200 | 1450.9 |
| 1995 | 1100.2 | 212.4 | 339.9 | 1652.5 | 200 | 1452.5 |
| 1996 | 1161.6 | 251.3 | 363.3 | 1776.2 | 200 | 1576.2 |
| 1997 | 1153.4 | 247.1 | 353.7 | 1754.2 | 200 | 1554.2 |
| 1998 | 1200.3 | 273.9 | 373.1 | 1847.3 | 200 | 1647.3 |
| 1999 | 1305.6 | 299.3 | 348.1 | 1953 | 200 | 1753 |
| 2000 | 1269.1 | 304.7 | 250.4 | 1824.2 | 200 | 1624.2 |
| 2001 | 1289.8 | 281 | 193.1 | 1763.9 | 200 | 1563.9 |
| 2002 | 1360.1 | 288.2 | 168.5 | 1816.8 | 200 | 1616.8 |
| 2003 | 1417.8 | 260.8 | 130.8 | 1809.4 | 200 | 1609.4 |
| 2004 | 1555 | 286.9 | 130.7 | 1972.6 | 200 | 1772.6 |
| 2005 | 1673.4 | 258 | 146.8 | 2078.2 | 200 | 1878.2 |
| 2006 | 1695.3 | 284.2 | 117.3 | 2096.8 | 200 | 1896.8 |
| 2007 | 1249.8 | 253 | 95.7 | 1598.5 | 200 | 1398.5 |
| 2008 | 842.5 | 277.2 | 81.9 | 1201.6 | 200 | 1001.6 |
| 2009 | 534.6 | 259.8 | 49.8 | 844.2 | 150 | 694.2 |
| 2010 | 505.2 | 146.5 | 50 | 701.7 | 150 | 551.7 |
| 2011 (est) | 433 | 120 | 46 | 599 | 150 | 449 |
State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in July
by Calculated Risk on 8/19/2011 10:30:00 AM
From the BLS: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary
Regional and state unemployment rates were generally little changed in July. Twenty-eight states and the District of Columbia registered unemployment rate increases, nine states recorded rate decreases, and thirteen states had no rate change, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.The following graph shows the current unemployment rate for each state (red), and the max during the recession (blue). If there is no blue, the state is currently at the maximum during the recession.
...
Nevada continued to register the highest unemployment rate among the states, 12.9 percent in July. California recorded the next highest rate, 12.0 percent. North Dakota reported the lowest jobless rate, 3.3 percent, followed by Nebraska, 4.1 percent. ...
Nevada recorded the largest jobless rate decrease from July 2010 (-2.0 percentage points). Ten additional states had smaller but also statistically significant decreases over the year: New Mexico (-1.8 percentage points), Indiana (-1.6 points), Michigan and Oklahoma (-1.5 points each), Oregon (-1.2 points), Wyoming (-1.1 points), Ohio (-1.0 point), Florida (-0.8 point), Virginia (-0.7 point), and North Dakota (-0.6 point). The remaining 39 states and the District of Columbia registered unemployment rates that were not appreciably different from those of a year earlier.
Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.The states are ranked by the highest current unemployment rate.
Three states are at new 2007 recession highs: Arkansas (8.2%), Texas (8.4%) and Montana (7.7%).
The fact that 39 states and the District of Columbia have seen little or no improvement over the last year is a reminder that the unemployment crisis is ongoing.
Europe Update: More Bank Funding Concerns
by Calculated Risk on 8/19/2011 09:01:00 AM
From the Financial Times: Funding fears hit European bank stocks
Worries that the eurozone debt crisis could infect the financial system hit the short-term funding markets ... Switzerland’s two largest banks, Credit Suisse and UBS, both denied they had made use of the Federal Reserve’s swap facility ...There is no panic in the bond markets. Some of the spreads have widened, but that is mostly because of lower German yields.
excerpt with permission
Here is a graph of the 10 year spread (Italy to Germany) from Bloomberg. And for Spain to Germany. The Italian spread is at 283, down from 389 on Aug 4th, and the Spanish spread is at 286, down from 398 on Aug 4th. The yield on the Spanish Ten and Italian 10 year bonds are under 5%.
Also the Irish 2 year yield is at 8.9%. And the French 10 year is at 2.8%.
Here are the links for bond yields for several countries (source: Bloomberg):
| Greece | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Portugal | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Ireland | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Spain | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Italy | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Belgium | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| France | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |
| Germany | 2 Year | 5 Year | 10 Year |


