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Thursday, May 27, 2021

Q1 GDP Growth Unchanged at 6.4% Annual Rate

by Calculated Risk on 5/27/2021 08:33:00 AM

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2021 (Second Estimate); Corporate Profits, 1st Quarter 2021 (Preliminary Estimate)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2021 , according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2020, real GDP increased 4.3 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "advance" estimate issued last month. In the advance estimate, the increase in real GDP was also 6.4 percent. Upward revisions to consumer spending and nonresidential fixed investment were offset by downward revisions to exports and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised up
emphasis added
Here is a Comparison of Second and Advance Estimates. PCE growth was revised up from 10.7% to 11.3%. Residential investment was revised up from 10.8% to 12.7%. This was slightly below the consensus forecast.