Monday, July 22, 2019

Top Twenty Five GDP Quarters since 2000

by Calculated Risk on 7/22/2019 02:49:00 PM

A year ago I posted a list of the top twenty five GDP quarters since 2000.   Here is an update.

The advance estimate of Q2 GDP data will be released this Friday, and the consensus estimate is for real GDP to increase 1.9% in Q2 2019 (Annualized).

Last year, in Q2 2018, GDP increased 4.2%, making it the tenth best quarter for real annualized GDP since Q1 2000.

As I've noted before, based on demographics, 2% is the new 4% (that is just simple arithmetic).


Top 25 GDP Quarters since 2000
Real GDP, Annualized Rate
GDPYearQuarterPresident
17.5%2000Q2Clinton
27.0%2003Q3GW Bush
35.4%2006Q1GW Bush
45.1%2014Q2Obama
54.9%2014Q3Obama
64.7%2011Q4Obama
74.7%2003Q4GW Bush
84.5%2005Q1GW Bush
94.5%2009Q4Obama
104.2%2018Q2Trump
114.1%2004Q4GW Bush
123.8%2004Q3GW Bush
133.7%2010Q2Obama
143.6%2005Q3GW Bush
153.6%2013Q1Obama
163.5%2002Q1GW Bush
173.5%2003Q2GW Bush
183.5%2006Q4GW Bush
193.4%2018Q3Trump
203.3%2015Q2Obama
213.3%2015Q1Obama
223.2%2013Q4Obama
233.2%2013Q3Obama
243.2%2012Q1Obama
253.1%2019Q1Trump