Friday, March 08, 2019

Fed Chair Powell: Monetary Policy: Normalization and the Road Ahead

by Calculated Risk on 3/08/2019 10:02:00 PM

From Fed Chair Jerome Powell: Monetary Policy: Normalization and the Road Ahead

The Committee has long said that the size of the balance sheet will be considered normalized when the balance sheet is once again at the smallest level consistent with conducting monetary policy efficiently and effectively. Just how large that will be is uncertain, because we do not yet have a clear sense of the normal level of demand for our liabilities. Current estimates suggest, however, that something in the ballpark of the 2019:Q4 projected values may be the new normal. The normalized balance sheet may be smaller or larger than that estimate and will grow gradually over time as demand for currency rises with the economy. In all plausible cases, the balance sheet will be considerably larger than before the crisis.
emphasis added