Thursday, August 16, 2018

MBA: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreased in Q2

by Bill McBride on 8/16/2018 10:34:00 AM

From the MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Down in 2nd Quarter of 2018

The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.36 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2018.

The delinquency rate was down 27 basis points from the previous quarter, but was up 12 basis points from one year ago, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) National Delinquency Survey. The percentage of loans on which foreclosure actions were started dropped four basis points from the last quarter to 0.24 percent, its lowest level since the second quarter of 1987.

“We continue to see improvement in the overall mortgage delinquency rate as the impact of the hurricanes from one year ago lessens, particularly for conventional loans,” according to Marina Walsh, Vice President of Industry Analysis at MBA. “Among the various loan types, the delinquency rate for conventional loans was two basis points lower than one year ago, prior to the hurricanes. While delinquencies for both FHA and VA loans were up from one year ago, they were improved over the previous quarter.”
...
Mortgage delinquencies dropped across all stages of delinquency in the second quarter of 2018 compared to the first quarter of 2018. The 30-day delinquency rate dropped two basis points from the previous quarter, while the 60-day and 90-day delinquency buckets dropped by eight and 18 basis points respectively.
...
The delinquency rate includes loans that are at least one payment past due but does not include loans in the process of foreclosure. The percentage of loans in the foreclosure process at the end of the second quarter was 1.05 percent, down 11 basis points from the first quarter of 2018 and 24 basis points lower than one year ago. This was the lowest foreclosure inventory rate since the third quarter of 2006.
...
The serious delinquency rate, the percentage of loans that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure, was 2.30 percent in the second quarter of 2018, a decrease of 31 basis points from last quarter, and a decrease of 19 basis points from last year.
emphasis added
MBA Delinquency by PeriodClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the percent of loans delinquent by days past due.

The percent of loans delinquent decreased in Q2, as "the impact of the hurricanes from one year ago lessens".

The percent of loans in the foreclosure process continues to decline, and is close to normal levels.