Monday, January 25, 2016

Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices

by Bill McBride on 1/25/2016 06:27:00 PM

• 9:00 AM: FHFA House Price Index for November 2015. This was originally a GSE only repeat sales, however there is also an expanded index.  The consensus is for a 0.5% month-to-month increase for this index.

• 9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for November. Although this is the November report, it is really a 3 month average of September, October and November prices.  The consensus is for a 5.7% year-over-year increase in the Comp 20 index for November. The Zillow forecast is for the National Index to increase 5.3% year-over-year in November.

• 10:00 AM: Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for January.

• 10:00 AM ET: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment for December.

From Diana Olick at CNBC: Homebuilder DR Horton's Bet on Entry-Level Houses Paying Off Big

... Texas-based DR Horton's CEO David Auld said on the company's quarterly earnings call. "The Express (brand) has been the driver of market share gains."

Express launched in early 2014, touting no-option, no-frills homes in exchange for prices between $120,000 and $150,000. Prices are now slightly higher, moving with the broader market gains, but still below the nation's median price. The brand has solid footing in Texas, the Carolinas and Florida, but it is now expanding strongly into Southern California. ...

"They are doing the best job of any of the large builders executing at entry level, and I think you have to have that as you go through '16," homebuilding analyst Stephen East of Evercore ISI said on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street."
As we've discussed, future growth for new home sales is partially dependent on more affordable homes.