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Thursday, June 05, 2014

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 312,000

by Calculated Risk on 6/05/2014 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending May 31, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 312,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 4,000 from 300,000 to 304,000. The 4-week moving average was 310,250, a decrease of 2,250 from the previous week's revised average. This is the lowest level for this average since June 2, 2007 when it was 307,500. The previous week's average was revised up by 1,000 from 311,500 to 312,500.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was revised up from 300,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 310,250.

This was close to the consensus forecast of 310,000.  The 4-week average is at the lowest level since June 2007 and is at normal levels for an expansion.