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Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Lawler: Preliminary Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in June

by Calculated Risk on 7/11/2012 03:32:00 PM

CR Note: Yesterday I posted some distressed sales data for Sacramento. I'm following the Sacramento market to see the change in mix over time (short sales, foreclosure, conventional). There has been a clear shift to fewer distressed sales in Sacramento.

Economist Tom Lawler has been digging up similar data, and he sent me the following table yesterday for several more distressed areas (I added Sacramento). For all of these areas the share of distressed sales is down from June 2011 - and for the areas that break out short sales, the share of short sales has increased (Mid-Atlantic only increased slightly) and the share of foreclosure sales are down - and down significantly.

Previous comments from Lawler:

Note that the distressed sales shares in the below table are based on MLS data, and often based on certain “fields” or comments in the MLS files, and some have questioned the accuracy of the data. Some MLS/associations only report on overall “distressed” sales.

The most striking shift from a year ago, of course, is the sharp drop in the foreclosure share of home sales ...

CR Note: So far there is no evidence of an increase in distressed sales this summer following the mortgage settlement.

Short Sales ShareForeclosure Sales ShareTotal "Distressed" Share
12-June11-June12-June11-June12-June11-June
Las Vegas34.2%21.6%27.8%47.2%62.0%68.8%
Reno37.0%25.0%21.0%41.0%58.0%66.0%
Phoenix32.8%27.0%14.1%40.8%46.8%67.8%
Sacramento31.0%22.2%23.2%43.0%54.2%65.2%
Mid-Atlantic (MRIS)10.2%10.0%8.7%14.9%18.9%24.9%
Charlotte14.2%30.6%