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Wednesday, July 11, 2012

FOMC Minutes: Several Members noted "additional policy action could be warranted" if economy loses "momentum"

by Calculated Risk on 7/11/2012 02:00:00 PM

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, June 19-20, 2012 . Excerpt:

Several participants commented that it would be desirable to explore the possibility of developing new tools to promote more-accommodative financial conditions and thereby support a stronger economic recovery.
A few members expressed the view that further policy stimulus likely would be necessary to promote satisfactory growth in employment and to ensure that the inflation rate would be at the Committee's goal. Several others noted that additional policy action could be warranted if the economic recovery were to lose momentum, if the downside risks to the forecast became sufficiently pronounced, or if inflation seemed likely to run persistently below the Committee's longer-run objective. The Committee agreed that it was prepared to take further action as appropriate to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labor market conditions in a context of price stability. A few members observed that it would be helpful to have a better understanding of how large the Federal Reserve's asset purchases would have to be to cause a meaningful deterioration in securities market functioning, and of the potential costs of such deterioration for the economy as a whole.
This seems to suggest that a "few" members were already prepared to vote for QE3, and "several" were willing to support QE3 if the economy loses momentum or downside risks increase or inflation is "persistently below the Committee's longer-run objective".