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Thursday, February 16, 2012

Earlier: Philly Fed "Regional manufacturing activity continued to expand in February"

by Calculated Risk on 2/16/2012 10:26:00 PM

Earlier from the Philly Fed: February 2012 Business Outlook Survey

The survey’s broadest measure of manufacturing conditions, the diffusion index of
current activity, edged higher from a reading of 7.3 in January to 10.2, its highest level since October. ... The new orders index was positive for the fifth consecutive month and increased from 6.9 to 11.7.
The current employment index, which has been positive for six consecutive months, fell from a reading of 11.6 in January to 1.1 this month, suggesting little overall growth in employment.
The future general activity index fell from a reading of 49.0 in January to 33.3 this month. The index, which has increased for five consecutive months, remains at a relatively high level.
This indicates expansion in Febraury, at a faster pace than in January, and slightly above the consensus forecast of +8.4.

ISM PMI Click on graph for larger image.

Here is a graph comparing the regional Fed surveys and the ISM manufacturing index. The dashed green line is an average of the NY Fed (Empire State) and Philly Fed surveys through February. The ISM and total Fed surveys are through January.

The average of the Empire State and Philly Fed surveys increased again in February, and is at the highest level since April 2011.

All current manufacturing graphs

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 348,000
Housing Starts increase in January
MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decline in Q4
Q4 MBA National Delinquency Survey Comments