Thursday, October 20, 2011

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 4-Week average lowest since April

by Bill McBride on 10/20/2011 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending October 15, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 403,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 409,000. The 4-week moving average was 403,000, a decrease of 6,250 from the previous week's revised average of 409,250.
The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 2000 (there is a longer term graph in graph gallery).

Weekly Unemployment Claims Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims declined this week to 403,000.

This is the lowest level for the 4-week average of weekly claims since April, and this was slightly above the consensus forecast. This is still elevated, and still above the post-recession lows of earlier this year.