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Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Other Employment Reports

by Calculated Risk on 9/02/2009 08:31:00 AM

ADP reports:

Nonfarm private employment decreased 298,000 from July to August 2009 on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the ADP National Employment Report®. The estimated change of employment from June to July was revised by 11,000, from a decline of 371,000 to a decline of 360,000.
Note: the BLS reported a 254,000 decrease in nonfarm private employment in July (-247,000 total nonfarm), so once again ADP was only marginally useful in predicting the BLS number - and last month ADP was too pessimistic.

On the Challenger job-cut report from Reuters: US Planned Layoffs Fall in August: Challenger Report
Planned layoffs at U.S. firms fell in August, suggesting less stress on the labor market and improvements in consumer spending and the broader economy in the coming months, a report released on Wednesday showed.

Planned job cuts announced by U.S. employers fell to 76,456 last month, down 21 percent from 97,373 in July, according to a report released by global outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

While the rate of layoffs has slowed, the cumulative number of job cuts has climbed to 1.07 million from January through August, 60 percent higher than the same period a year earlier.
The BLS reports Friday, and the consensus is for just over 200,000 net job losses for August.