by Bill McBride on 7/16/2012 01:35:00 PM
Monday, July 16, 2012
From Merrill Lynch:
Today’s weak retail sales report leaves Q2 GDP tracking a meager 1.1%. We expect the economy to remain weak through the rest of the year with growth of only 1.3% in Q3 and 1.0% in Q4. This translates to GDP growth of only 1.3% Q4/Q4, significantly below the Fed’s forecast of 1.9-2.4%.Via Ezra Klein:
Macro advisers: Q2 GDP tracking 1%Nouriel Roubini:
US Q2 GDP growth looks like 1.2% at best ... Q3 growth could be well below 1% given June sales report and unintended inventory build up. US at stall speedGoldman has lowered their forecast to 1.1% for Q2.
Posted by Bill McBride on 7/16/2012 01:35:00 PM