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Saturday, May 29, 2010

Unofficial Problem Bank List increases to 762 Institutions

by Calculated Risk on 5/29/2010 03:52:00 PM

This is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources.

Here is the unofficial problem bank list for May 28, 2010.

Changes and comments from surferdude808:

The Unofficial Problem Bank List underwent major changes this week from closings and with the FDIC releasing its enforcement actions for April 2010. The list includes 762 institutions with aggregate assets of $369.2 billion, up from 737 institutions and assets of $363.5 billion last week.

There were 31 additions this week. Notable additions include Citizens Bank & Trust Company, Chillicothe, MO ($1.1 billion); Park Cities Bank, Dallas, TX ($1.0 billion); and Magyar Bank, New Brunswick, NJ ($550 million Ticker: MGYR).

Removals include the five failures this week -- Bank of Florida - Southeast, Bank of Florida - Southwest, Bank of Florida - Tampa Bay, Granite Community Bank, NA, and Sun West Bank; and action termination against Indiana Community Bank. Other changes for banks already on the list include Prompt Corrective Action orders issued against two Seattle-based institutions -- First Sound Bank and Washington First International Bank.
CR note: The FDIC reported there were 775 institutions with assets of $431 billion on the official problem bank list at the end of Q1. There are some timing issues, but the overall number of institutions on the unofficial list is very close to the official list. However the assets on the unofficial list are far short of the assets on the official list. This suggests the possibility that a large regional bank may be on the official problem bank list.

The Oil Gusher

by Calculated Risk on 5/29/2010 02:37:00 PM

I know everyone want to discusss this in the comments ...

Here is the live feed from BP.

Here is a discussion of the "top kill" and "junk shot" from the Oil Drum.

I wonder if there is a chemical solution, like a two-part glue. Maybe they could inject a resin down one tube and an accelerator down another tube (both liquids) - and gunk up the Blowout preventer (a "gunk shot"). It would have to be a very fast reaction ...

Pretty grim ...

Key Economic Index suggests Tough Times

by Calculated Risk on 5/29/2010 10:45:00 AM

Just for fun ... in 1926, economist George Taylor suggested the "Hemline Index"; he observed that hemlines moved with stock prices.

And from the NY Times: A Long, Lean Backlash to the Mini. Here is the hot new look:


Does that mean stocks are at a bottom, or that stocks are about to crash?

ATA Truck Tonnage index increases in April

by Calculated Risk on 5/29/2010 08:49:00 AM

From the American Trucking Association: ATA Truck Tonnage Index Increased 0.9 Percent in April

The American Trucking Associations’ advance seasonally adjusted (SA) For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index increased for the sixth time in the last seven months, gaining another 0.9 percent in April. This followed a 0.4 percent increase in March. The latest improvement put the SA index at 110.2 (2000=100), which is the highest level since September 2008. Over the last seven months, the tonnage index grew a total of 6.5 percent.

The not seasonally adjusted index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by the fleets before any seasonal adjustment, equaled 111.3 in April, down 4.4 percent from the previous month.

Compared with April 2009, SA tonnage surged 9.4 percent, which was the fifth consecutive year-over-year gain and the largest increase since January 2005. Year-to-date, tonnage is up 6 percent compared with the same period in 2009.
...
Tonnage is being boosted by robust manufacturing output and stronger retail sales.” [ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello said] “For most fleets, freight volumes feel better than reported tonnage because the supply situation, particularly in the truckload sector, is turning quickly.”
This is the opposite of the report from Ceridian-UCLA that showed diesel fuel consumption down in April, although it might be a difference in the seasonal adjustment factors (NSA this report showed a 4.4% decline). Rail traffic was also up in April.

Friday, May 28, 2010

Friday Night Summary

by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 11:55:00 PM

From Bloomberg: Spain Loses AAA Rating at Fitch as Europe Battles Debt Crisis

The euro declined to 1.2274 dollars on the news. The TED spread increased to 38.11. This is still fairly low, but has been increasing ... Note: This is the difference between the interbank rate for three month loans and the three month Treasury and is considered a measure of credit stress. The peak was 463 on Oct 10th and a normal spread is below 50 bps.

The BEA reported April Personal Income up 0.4%, Spending up slightly.

The Institute for Supply Management – Chicago reported the "CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER eased" and "EMPLOYMENT slipped below neutral". New orders were softer, and it appears the inventory adjustment is over.

The National Restaurant Association index decreased slightly, but still showed some expansion. Same store sales and customer traffic both showed declines in April.

And a few interesting articles:

  • From Bloomberg: New Home Sales Set to Plunge in Former Bubble Markets

  • From David Bracken at the Newobserver.com: Sales stop for Raleigh condo project

  • From the NY Times: Placing the Blame as Students Are Buried in Debt

  • And from the NY Times: BP Engineers Making Little Headway on Leaking Well

    Best to all.

  • Bank Failure #78: Sun West Bank, Las Vegas, Nevada

    by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 09:09:00 PM

    Fiery twilight
    Crepuscular Sun West Bank
    Radiant, now dark

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC: City National Bank, Los Angeles, California, Assumes All of the Deposits of Sun West Bank, Las Vegas, Nevada
    Sun West Bank, Las Vegas, Nevada, was closed today by the Nevada Financial Institutions Division, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. ...

    As of March 31, 2010, Sun West Bank had approximately $360.7 million in total assets and $353.9 million in total deposits....

    The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $96.7 million. ... Sun West Bank is the 78th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the second in Nevada. The last FDIC-insured institution closed in the state was Carson River Community Bank, Carson City, on February 26, 2010.
    That makes five today ...

    Bank Failure #77: Granite Community Bank, N.A., Granite Bay, California

    by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 08:13:00 PM

    Sisyphean task
    Reinflating Granite Bank
    Too much crushing debt.

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC:
    Granite Community Bank, N.A., Granite Bay, California, was closed today by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. ...

    As of March 31, 2010, Granite Community Bank, N.A. had approximately $102.9 million in total assets and $94.2 million in total deposits....

    The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $17.3 million. ... Granite Community Bank, N.A. is the 77th FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the sixth in California. The last FDIC-insured institution closed in the state was 1st Pacific Bank of California, San Diego, on May 7, 2010.
    Financed too many granite countertops?

    Bank Failures #74 to #76: Florida

    by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 05:38:00 PM

    Bank of Florida
    Reckless lending aftermath
    Condo kingdom crash

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC: Everbank, Jacksonville, Florida, Acquires All the Deposits of Three Affiliated Florida Institutions
    Bank of Florida – Southeast, Fort Lauderdale, Florida; Bank of Florida – Southwest, Naples, Florida; and Bank of Florida – Tampa Bay, Tampa, Florida, were all closed today by the Florida Office of Financial Regulation, which appointed the FDIC as receiver. The three failed banks were owned by the same holding company, Bank of Florida Corporation, which was not part of this transaction.
    ...
    As of March 31, 2010, Bank of Florida - Southeast had total assets of $595.3 million and total deposits of $531.7 million; Bank of Florida - Southwest had total assets of $640.9 million and total deposits of $559.9 million; and Bank of Florida – Tampa Bay had total assets of $245.2 million and total deposits of $224.0 million. ...

    The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) for Bank of Florida - Southeast will be $71.4 million; for Bank of Florida - Southwest, $91.3 million; and for Bank of Florida – Tampa Bay, $40.3 million. ...The three closings bring the total number of failed banks in the nation so far this year to 76 and the total in Florida to 13. Prior to today, the last bank closed in the state was Bank of Bonifay, Bonifay, on May 7, 2010.
    A quick three-fer ...

    Decline in Small Business Lending: Supply or Demand problem?

    by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 05:20:00 PM

    There have been numerous reports of less small business lending. But it is unclear if this is because a lack of credit, or if the lower level of lending is because of less demand. A survey by the Atlanta Fed suggests that it is mostly a demand problem (especially excluding construction and real estate industries).

    From Atlanta Fed senior economist Paula Tkac: How "discouraged" are small businesses? Insights from an Atlanta Fed small business lending survey

    We at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta have ... begun a series of small business credit surveys. Leveraging the contacts in our Regional Economic Information Network (REIN), we polled 311 small businesses in the states of the Sixth District (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi and Tennessee) on their credit experiences and future plans. While the survey is not a stratified random sample and so should not be viewed as a statistical representation of small business firms in the Sixth District, we believe the results are informative.

    Indeed, the results of our April 2010 survey suggest that demand-side factors may be the driving force behind lower levels of small business credit. To be sure, when asked about the recent obstacles to accessing credit, some firms (34 firms, or 11 percent of our sample) cited banks' unwillingness to lend, but many more firms cited factors that may reflect low credit quality on the part of prospective borrowers. For example, 32 percent of firms cited a decline in sales over the past two years as an obstacle, 19 percent cited a high level of outstanding business or personal debt, 10 percent cited a less than stellar credit score, and 112 firms (32 percent) report no recent obstacles to credit. Perhaps not surprisingly, outside of the troubled construction and real estate industries, close to half the firms polled (46 percent) do not believe there are any obstacles while only 9 percent report unwillingness on the part of banks.
    This fits with comments from the National Federation of Independent Businesses that cited "poor sales" as the number one problem for small businesses.

    Sales halted on Condo Project, None Sold

    by Calculated Risk on 5/28/2010 03:32:00 PM

    This sounds so 2007 ... but it is today.

    From David Bracken at the Newobserver.com: Sales stop for Raleigh condo project (ht dshort)

    Hue, the multicolor building that is the largest condo project ever attempted in downtown Raleigh, closed its sales office without ever selling a unit.

    Signs posted on the building's doors, as well as a message left on the sales office's answering machine, say Hue will be closed until further notice.
    ...
    With its royal blue and mustard exterior, the 208-unit ... seven-story building across from the city administration building downtown replaced a parking lot and was considered a bold symbol of downtown Raleigh's revitalization.
    So much for the "revitalization". This is part of the shadow inventory ...