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Sunday, February 28, 2010

1.2 Million to Lose Unemployment Benefits Today

by Calculated Risk on 2/28/2010 08:59:00 AM

Just a reminder ...

From John Schmid at the Journal Sentinel: Unemployment benefits for 1.2 million Americans could expire Sunday

Nearly 1.2 million unemployed Americans ... face an imminent cutoff of government unemployment checks if Congress cannot pass emergency legislation to extend federal benefits before funding expires Sunday.

Saturday, February 27, 2010

Fed Balance Sheet and MBS Purchases

by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2010 11:49:00 PM

Here is the Federal Reserve balance sheet break down from the Atlanta Fed weekly Financial Highlights:

Fed MBS Purchases Graph Source: Altanta Fed.

From the Atlanta Fed:

The balance sheet expanded $20 billion, to $2.3 trillion, for the week ended February 17.

  • Holdings of agency debt and mortgage backed securities increased $49 billion while short-term lending to financials, specifically the Term Auction Credit Facility, declined by $23 billion.
  • Daily Show on BofA's Hidden Credit Card Fees

    by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2010 06:59:00 PM

    Some fun from the Daily Show. Link here if embed doesn't load.

    Living Rent Free: Homeowners become Squatters

    by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2010 02:48:00 PM

    From Alana Semuels at the LA Times : Many borrowers in default stay put as lenders delay evictions

    Throughout the country, people continue to default on their home loans -- but lenders have backed off on forced evictions, allowing many to remain in their homes, essentially rent-free.

    Several factors are driving the trend, industry experts say, including government pressure on banks to modify loans and keep people in their homes.

    And with a glut of inventory in places like Southern California's Inland Empire, Nevada and Arizona, lenders are loath to depress housing prices further by dumping more properties into a weak market.

    Growth of Problem Banks (Unofficial)

    by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2010 11:49:00 AM

    By request here is a graph of the number of banks on the unofficial problem bank list.

    We started posting the Unofficial Problem Bank list in early August 2009 (credit: surferdude808). The FDIC's official problem bank list is comprised of banks with a CAMELS rating of 4 or 5, and the list is not made public (just the number of banks and assets every quarter). Note: Bank CAMELS ratings are not made public.

    CAMELS is the FDIC rating system, and stands for Capital adequacy, Asset quality, Management, Earnings, Liquidity and Sensitivity to market risk. The scale is from 1 to 5, with 1 being the strongest.

    As a substitute for the CAMELS ratings, surferdude808 is using publicly announced formal enforcement actions, and also media reports and company announcements that suggest to us an enforcement action is likely, to compile a list of possible problem banks in the public interest. Some of this data is released with a lag, for example the FDIC announced the January enforcement actions yesterday.

    Buffett on Housing

    by Calculated Risk on 2/27/2010 08:33:00 AM

    Here is Warren Buffett's annual letter to shareholders. The following is an excerpt on housing (Buffett focuses on manufactured housing because Berkshire owns Clayton Homes):

    The [manufactured homes] industry is in shambles for two reasons, the first of which must be lived with if the U.S. economy is to recover. This reason concerns U.S. housing starts (including apartment units). In 2009, starts were 554,000, by far the lowest number in the 50 years for which we have data. Paradoxically, this is good news.

    People thought it was good news a few years back when housing starts – the supply side of the picture – were running about two million annually. But household formations – the demand side – only amounted to about 1.2 million. After a few years of such imbalances, the country unsurprisingly ended up with far too many houses.

    There were three ways to cure this overhang: (1) blow up a lot of houses, a tactic similar to the destruction of autos that occurred with the “cash-for-clunkers” program; (2) speed up household formations by, say, encouraging teenagers to cohabitate, a program not likely to suffer from a lack of volunteers or; (3) reduce new housing starts to a number far below the rate of household formations.

    Friday, February 26, 2010

    Unofficial Problem Bank List increases Significantly

    by Calculated Risk on 2/26/2010 11:11:00 PM

    This is an unofficial list of Problem Banks compiled only from public sources. Changes and comments from surferdude808:

    The Unofficial Problem Bank List underwent major changes during the week as aggregate assets for all institutions were updated to 2009q4 from 2009q3 and the FDIC finally released its enforcement actions issued during January 2010.

    The list now includes 644 institutions, up from 617 last week, as 33 institutions with assets of $12 billion were added while 6 with assets of $1.3 billion were deleted. Despite the additions, aggregate assets fell from $329 billion to $326 billion. For the 616 institutions that stayed on the list from last week, their aggregate assets dropped $13.8 billion during the fourth quarter.

    Bank Failure #22: Rainier Pacific Bank, Tacoma, Washington

    by Calculated Risk on 2/26/2010 09:12:00 PM

    Ranier Pacific
    Day of reckoning has come
    As sun sets westward

    by Soylent Green is People

    From the FDIC: Umpqua Bank, Roseburg, Oregon, Assumes All of the Deposits of Rainier Pacific Bank, Tacoma, Washington
    Rainier Pacific Bank, Tacoma, Washington, was closed today by the Washington Department of Financial Institutions, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver....

    As of December 31, 2009, Rainier Pacific Bank had approximately $717.8 million in total assets and $446.2 million in total deposits. ...

    Bank Failure #21: Carson River Community Bank, Carson City, Nevada

    by Calculated Risk on 2/26/2010 08:06:00 PM

    Cheap Nevada thrills
    Bright lights! Fast Times! No Limits!
    Woe, The taps gone dry.

    by Soylent Green is People

    From FDIC: Heritage Bank of Nevada, Reno, Nevada, Assumes All of the Deposits of Carson River Community Bank, Carson City, Nevada
    Carson River Community Bank, Carson City, Nevada, was closed today by the Nevada Department of Business and Industry, Financial Institutions Division, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) as receiver. ...

    As of December 31, 2009, Carson River Community Bank had approximately $51.1 million in total assets and $50.0 million in total deposits....

    The FDIC estimates that the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund (DIF) will be $7.9 million. ... Carson River Community Bank is the 21st FDIC-insured institution to fail in the nation this year, and the first in Nevada. The last FDIC-insured institution closed in the state was Community Bank of Nevada, August 14, 2009.
    A small one ...

    Fannie Mae Reports $15.2 Billion Loss

    by Calculated Risk on 2/26/2010 07:36:00 PM

    Press Release: Fannie Mae Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results

    Fannie Mae reported a net loss of $15.2 billion in the fourth quarter of 2009 ... For the full year of 2009, Fannie Mae reported a net loss of $72.0 billion...

    The fourth-quarter loss resulted in a net worth deficit of $15.3 billion as of December 31, 2009, taking into account unrealized gains on available-for-sale securities during the fourth quarter. As a result, on February 25, 2010, the Acting Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency submitted a request for $15.3 billion from Treasury on the company’s behalf. FHFA has requested that Treasury provide the funds on or prior to March 31, 2010.
    ...
    Although there have been signs of stabilization in the housing market and economy, we expect that our credit-related expenses will remain high in the near term due in large part to the stress of high unemployment and underemployment on borrowers and the fact that many borrowers who owe more on their mortgagees than their houses are worth are defaulting.
    ...
    We expect to have a net worth deficit in future periods, and therefore will be required to obtain additional funding from Treasury ...
    I'm old enough to remember when $15 billion was a large number.