by Calculated Risk on 2/07/2025 08:30:00 AM
Friday, February 07, 2025
January Employment Report: 143 thousand Jobs, 4.0% Unemployment Rate
From the BLS: Employment Situation
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 143,000 in January, and the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, retail trade, and social assistance. Employment declined in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry.
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The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised up by 49,000, from +212,000 to +261,000, and the change for December was revised up by 51,000, from +256,000 to +307,000. With these revisions, employment in November and December combined is 100,000 higher than previously reported.
emphasis added
The first graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021.
Total payrolls increased by 143 thousand in January. Private payrolls increased by 111 thousand, and public payrolls increased 32 thousand.
Payrolls for November and December were revised up 100 thousand, combined.
Payrolls for November and December were revised up 100 thousand, combined.
In January, the year-over-year change was 2.02 million jobs. Employment was up solidly year-over-year.
The third graph shows the employment population ratio and the participation rate.
The Employment-Population ratio increased to 60.1% from 60.0% in December (blue line).
I'll post the 25 to 54 age group employment-population ratio graph later.
The unemployment rate decreased to 4.0% in January from 4.1% in December.
This was below consensus expectations; however, November and December payrolls were revised up by 100,000 combined.
The seasonally adjusted total nonfarm employment level for March 2024 was revised downward by 589,000. On a not seasonally adjusted basis, the total nonfarm employment level for March 2024 was revised downward by 598,000, or -0.4 percent. Not seasonally adjusted, the absolute average benchmark revision over the past 10 years is 0.1 percent.I'll have more later ...