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Friday, May 10, 2024

May 10th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Continue to Decline

by Calculated Risk on 5/10/2024 07:01:00 PM

Mortgage RatesNote: Mortgage rates are from and are for top tier scenarios.

It is likely that we will see a new pandemic low for weekly deaths next week.  That is welcome news!

For deaths, I'm currently using 4 weeks ago for "now", since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Note: "Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital capacity, or hospital occupancy data."  So I'm no longer tracking hospitalizations, however hospitalizations were at a pandemic low two weeks ago.

COVID Metrics
Deaths per Week512582≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts,
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Deaths
✅ Goal met.

COVID-19 Deaths per WeekClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported.

Weekly deaths have declined sharply from the recent peak of 2,561 but are still 4% above the pandemic low of 491 last July.

And here is a graph I'm following concerning COVID in wastewater as of May 2nd:

COVID-19 WastewaterThis appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.

Nationally, COVID in wastewater is now off more than 90% from the holiday peak at the end of December - and also at the lows of last year - and that suggests weekly deaths will continue to decline.