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Sunday, December 31, 2023

Update: Lumber Prices Up 9.6% YoY

by Calculated Risk on 12/31/2023 08:23:00 AM

Here is another monthly update on lumber prices.

SPECIAL NOTE:
The CME group discontinued the Random Length Lumber Futures contract on May 16, 2023.  I've now switched to a new physically-delivered Lumber Futures contract that was started in August 2022. 

Unfortunately, this impacts long term price comparisons since the new contract was priced about 24% higher than the old random length contract for the period when both contracts were available.

This graph shows CME random length framing futures through last August (blue), and the new physically-delivered Lumber Futures (LBR) contract starting in August 2022 (Red).

LBR is currently at $544.00 per 1000 board feet, up 9.6% from $496.5 a year ago.

Lumber PricesClick on graph for larger image.

There is somewhat of a seasonal demand for lumber, and lumber prices usually peak in April or May.

We didn't see a significant runup in prices last Spring due to the housing slowdown, but we might see some pickup in early 2024.