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Thursday, December 21, 2023

Q3 GDP Growth Revised down to 4.9% Annual Rate

by Calculated Risk on 12/21/2023 08:38:00 AM

From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product (Third Estimate), Corporate Profits (Revised Estimate), and GDP by Industry, Third Quarter 2023

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter of 2023, according to the "third" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 percent.

The GDP estimate released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the "second" estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the increase in real GDP was 5.2 percent. The update primarily reflected a downward revision to consumer spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down (refer to "Updates to GDP").

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending, private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, federal government spending, residential fixed investment, and nonresidential fixed investment. Imports increased.
emphasis added
Here is a Comparison of Third and Second Estimates. PCE growth was revised down from 3.6% to 3.1%. Residential investment was revised up from 6.2% to 6.7%.