In Depth Analysis: CalculatedRisk Newsletter on Real Estate (Ad Free) Read it here.

Sunday, June 04, 2023 Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 18% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY

by Calculated Risk on 6/04/2023 08:11:00 AM has monthly and weekly data on the existing home market. Here is their weekly report from economist Jiayi Xu: Weekly Housing Trends View — Data Week Ending May 27, 2023

Active inventory growth slowed again, with for-sale homes up just 18% above one year ago. The number of homes for sale continues to grow, but compared to one year ago, the pace is slowing. As we have discussed previously, further slowing is likely ahead. Due to the limited housing inventory, many buyers have turned their attention towards newly constructed homes.
New listings–a measure of sellers putting homes up for sale–were down again this week, by 20% from one year ago. The number of newly listed homes has been lower than the same time the previous year for the past 47 weeks. This week’s gap was smaller than last two weeks’, but the lack of new sellers is still a drag on home sales. In fact, this trend holds for all four regions in May, and the West saw the most significant decline in listing activities. Existing homeowners, benefiting from mortgage rates considerably lower than current rates, are reluctant to list their properties, leading to a lag in new listings.
Realtor YoY Active ListingsHere is a graph of the year-over-year change in inventory according to

Inventory is still up year-over-year - from record lows - however, the YoY increase has slowed sharply recently.  

This was the smallest YoY increase since June 2022.

The recent trend suggests active inventory could be down YoY in late June or July!