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Friday, June 16, 2023

Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%

by Calculated Risk on 6/16/2023 08:29:00 AM

From BofA:

Today's data left our 2Q US GDP tracking unchanged at 1.3% q/q saar and decreased our 1Q tracker from 2.0% to 1.8%. [June 15th estimate]
emphasis added
From Goldman:
[W]e lowered our Q2 GDP tracking estimate by 0.1pp to +1.7% (qoq ar) on the back of softer consumption growth. [June 15th estimate]
And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow
The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2023 is 1.8 percent on June 15, down from 2.2 percent on June 8. [June 15th estimate]