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Monday, December 05, 2022

Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in October; Down 3.2% since June

by Calculated Risk on 12/05/2022 11:06:00 AM

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in October; Down 3.2% since June

A brief excerpt:

Here is a graph of the Black Knight HPI. The index is still up 9.3% year-over-year but declined for the fourth straight month in October and is now 3.2% off the peak in June.

30 year Mortgage 10 year Treasury
• While near multi-decade low affordability would suggest home prices should be seeing strong declines, stalling inventory levels are holding home prices higher than current demand levels would suggest they should be

• Home prices fell 0.43% in October (-0.13% on a seasonally-adjusted basis), the smallest such decline – both actual and seasonally adjusted – since home prices peaked in June

• Likewise, home price growth cooled for the seventh consecutive month, to 9.3% in October from 10.6% the prior month, the lowest annual rate in >2 years

• The median home price nationally is now down 3.2% (-1.5% on a seasonally-adjusted basis) from its June peak but tight inventory has slowed the rate of decline in recent months
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