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Wednesday, August 17, 2022

FOMC Minutes "Participants anticipated that this slowdown in housing activity would continue"

by Calculated Risk on 8/17/2022 02:10:00 PM

From the Fed: Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee, July 26-27, 2022. Excerpt on housing and policy:

Participants also observed that housing activity had weakened notably, reflecting the impact of higher mortgage interest rates and house prices on home affordability. Participants anticipated that this slowdown in housing activity would continue and also expected higher borrowing costs to lead to a slowing in other interest-sensitive household expenditures, such as purchases of durable goods.
...
In their assessment of the policy outlook, market participants expected significant policy tightening in coming meetings as the Committee continued to respond to the current elevated level of inflation. Nearly all respondents to the Desk survey anticipated a 75 basis point increase in the target range at the current meeting, and most expected a 50 basis point increase in September to follow.
emphasis added