Thursday, July 07, 2022

Friday: Employment Report

My June Employment Preview

Goldman June Payrolls Preview

Friday:
• At 8:30 AM ET, Employment Report for June.   The consensus is for 270,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.6%

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID Metrics
 NowWeek
Ago
Goal
Percent fully Vaccinated66.9%---≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated (millions)222.3---≥2321
New Cases per Day3106,549110,875≤5,0002
Hospitalized3🚩28,89126,959≤3,0002
Deaths per Day3273345≤502
1 Minimum to achieve "herd immunity" (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
✅ Goal met.

COVID-19 Positive Tests per DayClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.

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