In Depth Analysis: CalculatedRisk Newsletter on Real Estate (Ad Free) Read it here.

Wednesday, February 09, 2022

Thursday: CPI, Initial Unemployment Claims

by Calculated Risk on 2/09/2022 08:14:00 PM

• At 8:30 AM ET, the initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for a decrease to 235 thousand from 238 thousand last week.

• Also, at 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for January from the BLS. The consensus is for 0.5% increase in CPI, and a 0.5% increase in core CPI.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID Metrics
Percent fully Vaccinated64.2%---≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated (millions)213.2---≥2321
New Cases per Day3230,602413,730≤5,0002
Deaths per Day32,3032,402≤502
1 Minimum to achieve "herd immunity" (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
✅ Goal met.

COVID-19 Positive Tests per DayClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of positive tests reported.

New cases, hospitalizations and deaths are now declining.