In Depth Analysis: CalculatedRisk Newsletter on Real Estate (Ad Free) Read it here.

Wednesday, August 25, 2021

August 25th COVID-19: 7-Day Average New Cases Highest Since January

by Calculated Risk on 8/25/2021 04:16:00 PM

On daily deaths: There were over 1,100 deaths reported today. In early July, the 7-day average for daily COVID deaths was around 190.  Since then, the 7-day average of daily deaths has more than quadrupled, and since deaths lag hospitalizations, it seems likely average daily deaths will increase to over 1,000 per day.  Be careful.

The 7-day average cases is the highest since January 30th.

The 7-day average hospitalizations is the highest since February 5th.

The 7-day average deaths is the highest since March 17th.

The CDC is the source for all data.

According to the CDC, on Vaccinations.  Total doses administered: 364,842,701, as of a week ago 358,599,835. Average doses last week: 0.89 million per day. 

COVID Metrics
 TodayYesterdayWeek
Ago
Goal
Percent fully
Vaccinated
51.7%51.6%51.0%≥70.0%1
Fully Vaccinated
(millions)
171.8171.4169.2≥2321
New Cases
per Day3🚩
142,029141,091134,091≤5,0002
Hospitalized3🚩85,61185,00475,544≤3,0002
Deaths per Day3🚩809765659≤502
1 Minimum to achieve "herd immunity" (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
✅ Goal met.

IMPORTANT: For "herd immunity" most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID).  

KUDOS to the residents of the 7 states that have achieved 60% of total population fully vaccinated: Vermont at 67.5%, Massachusetts, Maine, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Maryland and New Jersey at 60.7%.

The following 17 states and D.C. have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Washington at 59.6%, New Hampshire, New York State, New Mexico, Oregon, District of Columbia, Virginia, Colorado, Minnesota, California, Hawaii, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois, and Michigan at 50.1%.

Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are South Dakota at 48.7%, Ohio at 47.9%, Kentucky at 47.8%, Kansas at 47.5%, Arizona at 47.3%, Utah at 47.2%, Nevada at 47.0%, and Alaska at 46.8%.

COVID-19 Positive Tests per DayClick on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.