Monday, August 17, 2020

MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases for the Ninth Straight Week to 7.21%"

by Calculated Risk on 8/17/2020 04:00:00 PM

Note: This is as of August 9th.

From the MBA: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases for the Ninth Straight Week to 7.21%

he Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Forbearance and Call Volume Survey revealed that the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 23 basis points from 7.44% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 7.21% as of August 9, 2020. According to MBA’s estimate, 3.6 million homeowners are in forbearance plans.
...
“More homeowners exited forbearance last week, leading to the ninth straight drop in the share of loans in forbearance. However, the decline in Ginnie Mae loans in forbearance was again because of buyouts of delinquent loans from Ginnie Mae pools, which result in these FHA and VA loans being reported in the portfolio category,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. “In a sign that more FHA and VA borrowers are struggling with a very tough job market, more Ginnie Mae borrowers requested than exited forbearance.”

By stage, 38.80% of total loans in forbearance are in the initial forbearance plan stage, while 60.49% are in a forbearance extension. The remaining 0.70% are forbearance re-entries.
emphasis added
MBA Forbearance Survey Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the percent of portfolio in forbearance by investor type over time.  Most of the increase was in late March and early April, and has been trending down for the last nine weeks.

The MBA notes: "Total weekly forbearance requests as a percent of servicing portfolio volume (#) decreased relative to the prior week from 0.12% to 0.11%."

There hasn't been a pickup in forbearance activity related to the end of the extra unemployment benefits.