Friday, August 07, 2020

August 7 COVID-19 Test Results

by Calculated Risk on 8/07/2020 06:28:00 PM

Note: There are some states having reporting problems.

Stunning death numbers from the NY Times (and the CDC): Tracking the Real Coronavirus Death Toll in the United States

Nationwide, 200,700 more people have died than usual from March 15 to July 25, according to C.D.C. estimates, which adjust current death records to account for typical reporting lags. That number is 54,000 higher than the official count of coronavirus deaths for that period.
Many epidemiologists believe measuring excess deaths is the best way to assess the impact of the virus in real time. It shows how the virus is altering normal patterns of mortality. The high numbers from the coronavirus pandemic period undermine arguments that the virus is merely killing vulnerable people who would have died anyway.
The US is now mostly reporting over 700,000 tests per day. Based on the experience of other countries, the percent positive needs to be well under 5% to really push down new infections, so the US still needs to increase the number of tests per day significantly (or take actions to push down the number of new infections).

There were 762,883 test results reported over the last 24 hours.

There were 61,520 positive tests.

See the graph on US Daily Deaths here.

COVID-19 Tests per Day Click on graph for larger image.

This data is from the COVID Tracking Project.

The percent positive over the last 24 hours was 8.1% (red line).

For the status of contact tracing by state, check out

And check out COVID Exit Strategy to see how each state is doing.