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Saturday, April 27, 2019

Schedule for Week of April 28, 2019

by Calculated Risk on 4/27/2019 08:11:00 AM

The key report scheduled for this week is the April employment report.

Other key reports include Case-Shiller house prices, ISM Manufacturing survey, Vehicle Sales and Personal Income and Outlays for March.

For manufacturing, the April Dallas manufacturing survey will be released.

The FOMC meets this week, and no change to policy is expected at this meeting.

----- Monday, Apr 29th -----

8:30 AM ET: Personal Income and Outlays, March 2019. The consensus is for a 0.4% increase in personal income, and for a 0.7% increase in personal spending. And for the Core PCE price index to increase 0.1%.

10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for April. This is the last of regional manufacturing surveys for April.

----- Tuesday, Apr 30th -----

Case-Shiller House Prices Indices9:00 AM: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for February.

This graph shows the nominal seasonally adjusted National Index, Composite 10 and Composite 20 indexes through the most recent report (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).

The consensus is for a 3.2% year-over-year increase in the Comp 20 index for February.

9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for April.

10:00 AM: Pending Home Sales Index for March. The consensus is for a 0.6% increase in the index.

----- Wednesday, May 1st -----

7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

Vehicle SalesAll day: Light vehicle sales for April. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 17.0 million SAAR in April, down from 17.5 million in March (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

This graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967. The dashed line is the February sales rate.

8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for April. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 180,000 payroll jobs added in April, up from 129,000 added in March.

ISM PMI10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for April. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 55.0, down from 55.3 in March.

Here is a long term graph of the ISM manufacturing index.

The PMI was at 55.3% in March, up from 54.2% in February. The employment index was at 57.5% and the new orders index was at 57.4%.

10:00 AM: Construction Spending for March. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in construction spending.

2:00 PM: FOMC Meeting Announcement. No change to policy is expected at this meeting.

2:30 PM: Fed Chair Jerome Powell holds a press briefing following the FOMC announcement.

----- Thursday, May 2nd -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  Last week the DOL reported 230 thousand initial claims.

----- Friday, May 3rd -----

Year-over-year change employment8:30 AM: Employment Report for April.   The consensus is for 180,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to be unchanged at 3.8%.

There were 196,000 jobs added in March, and the unemployment rate was at 3.8%.

This graph shows the year-over-year change in total non-farm employment since 1968.

In March the year-over-year change was 2.537 million jobs.

10:00 AM: the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for April.   The consensus is for a reading of 57.2, up from 56.1.