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Saturday, March 02, 2019

Schedule for Week of March 3, 2019

by Calculated Risk on 3/02/2019 08:11:00 AM

The key reports scheduled for this week are the February employment report, December New Home Sales, and January Housing Starts (Some more catching up).

Other key reports scheduled for this week are the trade deficit and February vehicle sales.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak on Friday about Monetary Policy Normalization.

----- Monday, Mar 4th -----

Vehicle SalesAll day: Light vehicle sales for February. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 17.0 million SAAR in February, down from 16.6 million in January (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

This graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967. The dashed line is the January sales rate.

10:00 AM: Construction Spending for December. The consensus is for a 0.6% increase in construction spending.

----- Tuesday, Mar 5th -----

New Home Sales10:00 AM: New Home Sales for December from the Census Bureau.

This graph shows New Home Sales since 1963. The dashed line is the sales rate for last month.

The consensus is for 591 thousand SAAR, down from 657 thousand in November.

10:00 AM: Corelogic House Price index for January.

10:00 AM: the ISM non-Manufacturing Index for February.

----- Wednesday, Mar 6th -----

7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for February. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 180,000 payroll jobs added in February, down from 213,000 added in January.

U.S. Trade Deficit8:30 AM: Trade Balance report for December from the Census Bureau.

This graph shows the U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through the most recent report. The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum deficit, and the red line is the trade deficit ex-petroleum products.

The consensus is the trade deficit to be $57.6 billion.  The U.S. trade deficit was at $49.3 billion in November.

2:00 PM: the Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.

----- Thursday, Mar 7th -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 225 thousand initial claims, unchanged from 225 thousand the previous week.

12:00 PM: Q4 Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States from the Federal Reserve.

3:00 PM: Consumer Credit from the Federal Reserve.

----- Friday, Mar 8th -----

Year-over-year change employment8:30 AM: Employment Report for February.   The consensus is for 178,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to decline to 3.9%.

There were 304,000 jobs added in January, and the unemployment rate was at 4.0%.

This graph shows the year-over-year change in total non-farm employment since 1968.

In January the year-over-year change was 2.807 million jobs.

Total Housing Starts and Single Family Housing Starts8:30 AM ET: Housing Starts for January.

This graph shows single and total housing starts since 1968.

The consensus is for 1.170 million SAAR, up from 1.078 million SAAR.

10:00 PM: Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Monetary Policy Normalization and Review, At the 2019 Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) Economic Summit, Stanford, California