by Calculated Risk on 3/18/2019 10:04:00 AM
Monday, March 18, 2019
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 62 in March, unchanged from 62 in February. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
From NAHB: Builder Confidence Holds Steady in March
Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes held steady at 62 in March, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today.Click on graph for larger image.
“Builders report the market is stabilizing following the slowdown at the end of 2018 and they anticipate a solid spring home buying season,” said NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde, a home builder and developer from Torrington, Conn.
“In a healthy sign for the housing market, more builders are saying that lower price points are selling well, and this was reflected in the government’s new home sales report released last week,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “Increased inventory of affordably priced homes – in markets where government policies support such construction - will enable more entry-level buyers to enter the market.”
The HMI component charting sales expectations in the next six months rose three points to 71, the index gauging current sales conditions increased two points to 68, and the component measuring traffic of prospective buyers fell four points to 44. Looking at the three-month moving averages for regional HMI scores, the Northeast posted a five-point gain to 48, the South was up three points to 66 and West increased two points to 69. The Midwest posted a one-point decline to 51.
This graph show the NAHB index since Jan 1985.
This was close to the consensus forecast.