Monday, June 11, 2018

Tuesday: CPI

by Calculated Risk on 6/11/2018 07:12:00 PM

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Near Recent Highs

Mortgage rates edged up to the highest levels in several weeks today. Only a handful of days from mid-May stand between current levels and the highest rates in 7 years. That sounds a bit more dramatic than it is. Rates have been pretty close to these highs during the 2nd half of last week and just happened to move in an unfriendly direction by a medium-small amount today.

The middle of the week is more worthy of anxiety and anticipation. Between the important economic reports and the announcements from major central banks (the Fed and the European Central Bank) rates could easily be shooting to new long-term highs or surging triumphantly lower--at least in the context of the recent range. We're not talking about 30yr fixed rates rising above 5% or below 4%, but it's not uncommon to see a move of .125%-.25% when the stars align on these sorts of weeks. [30YR FIXED - 4.625%-4.75%]
emphasis added
• At 6:00 AM, NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May.

• At 8:30 AM, The Consumer Price Index for May from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.2% increase in CPI, and a 0.2% increase in core CPI.