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Tuesday, July 11, 2017

Phoenix Real Estate in June: Sales up 6%, Inventory down 10% YoY

by Calculated Risk on 7/11/2017 06:27:00 PM

This is a key housing market to follow since Phoenix saw a large bubble / bust followed by strong investor buying.

The Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) reports (table below):

1) Overall sales in June were up 6.5% year-over-year.

2) Active inventory is now down 10.2% year-over-year. 

More inventory (a theme in most of 2014) - and less investor buying - suggested price increases would slow sharply in 2014.  And prices increases did slow in 2014, only increasing 2.4% according to Case-Shiller.

In 2015, with falling inventory, prices increased a little faster.  Prices were up 6.3% in 2015 according to Case-Shiller.

With flat inventory in 2016, prices were up 4.8%.

This is the eighth consecutive month with a YoY decrease in inventory, and prices are rising a little faster this year (2.2% through April or 6.7% annual rate).

June Residential Sales and Inventory, Greater Phoenix Area, ARMLS
  SalesYoY
Change
Sales
Cash
Sales
Percent
Cash
Active
Inventory
YoY
Change
Inventory
June 20085,748---1,09319.0%53,8262---
June 20099,32562.2%3,44336.9%38,358---2
June 20109,278-0.5%3,49837.7%41,8699.2%
June 201111,13420.0%5,00144.9%29,203-30.3%
June 20129,133-18.0%4,27246.8%19,857-32.0%
June 20138,150-10.8%3,05537.5%19,541-1.6%
June 20147,239-11.2%1,85425.6%27,95443.1%
June 20158,27320.5%2,00523.0%23,377-16.4%
June 20168,9868.6%1,87520.9%24,8986.5%
June 20179,5716.5%1,93020.2%22,358-10.2%
1 June 2008 does not include manufactured homes, ~100 more
2 June 2008 Inventory includes pending