by Calculated Risk on 7/15/2015 07:00:00 AM

Note: Results for holiday weeks - and the following week - can be very volatile.

From the MBA: Refi Applications Up, Purchase Applications Down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

Mortgage applications decreased 1.9 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending July 10, 2015. The prior week’s results included an adjustment for the July 4th holiday. ...

The Refinance Index increased 4 percent from the previous week. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 8 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index increased 3 percent compared with the previous week and was 17 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($417,000 or less) remained unchanged from 4.23 percent, with points increasing to 0.39 from 0.37 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.
emphasis added

Click on graph for larger image.


The first graph shows the refinance index.

With higher rates, refinance activity is very low.

2014 was the lowest year for refinance activity since year 2000, and refinance activity will probably stay low for the rest of 2015.


The second graph shows the MBA mortgage purchase index.  

According to the MBA, the unadjusted purchase index is 17% higher than a year ago.