Thursday, October 16, 2014

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 264,000, 4-Week Average lowest since 2000

by Calculated Risk on 10/16/2014 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending October 11, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 264,000, a decrease of 23,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 287,000. This is the lowest level for initial claims since April 15, 2000 when it was 259,000. The 4-week moving average was 283,500, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 287,750. This is the lowest level for this average since June 10, 2000 when it was 283,500.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was unrevised at 287,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 283,500.

This was below the consensus forecast of 290,000 and suggests few layoffs.