Saturday, September 13, 2014

Schedule for Week of September 14th

by Calculated Risk on 9/13/2014 01:01:00 PM

The key economic report this week is August housing starts on Thursday.

For manufacturing, the August Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report, and the September NY Fed (Empire State) and Philly Fed manufacturing surveys, will be released this week. 

For prices, PPI will be released Tuesday, and CPI on Wednesday.

The FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the FOMC is expected to taper QE3 asset purchases another $10 billion per month at this meeting.

Also the BLS will release the 2014 preliminary employment Benchmark Revision, and the Fed will release the Q2 Flow of Funds report on Thursday.

----- Monday, September 15th -----

8:30 AM: NY Fed Empire Manufacturing Survey for September. The consensus is for a reading of 16.0, up from 14.7 in August (above zero is expansion).

Industrial Production 9:15 AM: The Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for August.

This graph shows industrial production since 1967.

The consensus is for a 0.3% increase in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to 79.3%.

----- Tuesday, September 16th -----

8:30 AM: The Producer Price Index for August from the BLS. The consensus is for a 0.1% increase in prices, and a 0.1% increase in core PPI.

----- Wednesday, September 17th -----

7:00 AM: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

8:30 AM: Consumer Price Index for August. The consensus is for no change in CPI in August and for core CPI to increase 0.2%.

10:00 AM: The September NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 56, up from 55 in August.  Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.

2:00 PM: FOMC Meeting Announcement.  The FOMC is expected to reduce monthly QE3 asset purchases from $25 billion per month to $15 billion per month at this meeting.

2:00 PM: FOMC Forecasts This will include the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants' projections of the appropriate target federal funds rate along with the quarterly economic projections.

2:30 PM: Fed Chair Janet Yellen holds a press briefing following the FOMC announcement.

----- Thursday, September 18th -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for claims to decrease to 305 thousand from 315 thousand.

Total Housing Starts and Single Family Housing Starts8:30 AM: Housing Starts for August.

Total housing starts were at 1.093 million (SAAR) in July. Single family starts were at 656 thousand SAAR in July.

The consensus is for total housing starts to decrease to 1.040 million (SAAR) in August.

8:45 AM: Speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen, The Importance of Asset Building for Low and Middle Income Households, At the Corporation for Enterprise Development's 2014 Assets Learning Conference, Washington, D.C. (via prerecorded video)

10:00 AM: the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for September. The consensus is for a reading of 22.0, down from 28.0 last month (above zero indicates expansion).

10:00 AM: 2014 Current Employment Statistics (CES) Preliminary Benchmark Revision. From the BLS:
"Each year, the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey estimates are benchmarked to comprehensive counts of employment from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) for the month of March. These counts are derived from state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records that nearly all employers are required to file. ... The final benchmark revision will be issued with the publication of the January 2015 Employment Situation news release in February."
12:00 PM: Q2 Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States from the Federal Reserve.

----- Friday, September 19th -----

10:00 AM: Regional and State Employment and Unemployment (Monthly) for August 2014