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Friday, August 15, 2014

Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.4% in July

by Calculated Risk on 8/15/2014 09:15:00 AM

From the Fed: Industrial production and Capacity Utilization

Industrial production increased 0.4 percent in July for its sixth consecutive monthly gain. Manufacturing output advanced 1.0 percent in July, its largest increase since February. The production of motor vehicles and parts jumped 10.1 percent, while output in the rest of the manufacturing sector rose 0.4 percent. The production at mines moved up 0.3 percent, its ninth consecutive monthly increase. The output of utilities dropped 3.4 percent, as weather that was milder than usual for July reduced demand for air conditioning. At 104.4 percent of its 2007 average, total industrial production in July was 5.0 percent above its year-earlier level. Capacity utilization for total industry edged up 0.1 percentage point to 79.2 percent in July, a rate 1.7 percentage points above its level of a year earlier and 0.9 percentage point below its long-run (1972–2013) average.
emphasis added
Capacity Utilization Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows Capacity Utilization. This series is up 12.3 percentage points from the record low set in June 2009 (the series starts in 1967).

Capacity utilization at 79.2% is 0.9 percentage points below its average from 1972 to 2012 and below the pre-recession level of 80.8% in December 2007.

Note: y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change.

Industrial Production The second graph shows industrial production since 1967.

Industrial production increased 0.4% in July to 104.4. This is 24.7% above the recession low, and 3.6% above the pre-recession peak.

The monthly change for Industrial Production was slightly above expectations.