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Thursday, June 12, 2014

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 317,000

by Calculated Risk on 6/12/2014 08:30:00 AM

The DOL reports:

In the week ending June 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 317,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised up by 1,000 from 312,000 to 313,000. The 4-week moving average was 315,250, an increase of 4,750 from the previous week's revised average. The previous week's average was revised up by 250 from 310,250 to 310,500.

There were no special factors impacting this week's initial claims.
The previous week was revised up from 312,000.

The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since January 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.


The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased to 315,250.

This was above the consensus forecast of 309,000.  The 4-week average is now at normal levels for an expansion.