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Tuesday, April 15, 2014

NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business activity was flat" in April

by Calculated Risk on 4/15/2014 08:36:00 AM

Note: The BLS reported:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 1.5 percent before seasonal adjustment.
The index for all items less food and energy also rose 0.2 percent in March.
I'll have more on inflation later.

From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey
The April 2014 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business activity was flat for New York manufacturers. The headline general business conditions index slipped four points to 1.3. The new orders index fell below zero to -2.8, pointing to a slight decline in orders, and the shipments index was little changed at 3.2. ...

Employment indexes suggested modest improvement in labor market conditions. The index for number of employees inched up to 8.2, indicating a small increase in employment levels, and the average workweek index fell three points to 2.0, pointing to a slight increase in hours worked.

Indexes for the six-month outlook continued to convey a fair amount of optimism about future business conditions. The index for expected general business conditions advanced five points to 38.2. The index for future new orders fell for a second consecutive month, though it remained at a fairly high level of 32.7.
emphasis added
This is the first of the regional surveys for April.  The general business conditions index was below the consensus forecast of a reading of 7.5, and indicates slower expansion in April than in March.