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Tuesday, February 18, 2014

NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates slower expansion in February

by Calculated Risk on 2/18/2014 08:45:00 AM

From the NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey

The February 2014 Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that business conditions improved marginally for New York manufacturers. The general business conditions index fell eight points, but remained positive at 4.5. The new orders index fell to about zero, indicating that orders were flat, and the shipments index declined thirteen points to 2.1. ...

Employment indexes were little changed from last month and pointed to a modest improvement in labor market conditions. The number of employees index was 11.3, indicating a modest increase in employment levels, and the average workweek index inched up to 3.8, suggesting slightly longer workweeks.
Indexes for the six-month outlook continued to convey fairly strong optimism about future business conditions. The index for expected general business conditions rose to 39.0, and the index for future new orders climbed six points to 45.3, its highest level in two years.
emphasis added
This is the first of the regional surveys for February.  The general business conditions index was below the consensus forecast of a reading of 9.0, and indicates slower expansion in February.  The internals were mixed, with new orders flat after hitting a two year high in January, and the employment index indicated modest improvement.