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Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Retail Sales increased 0.4% in October

by Calculated Risk on 11/20/2013 08:43:00 AM

On a monthly basis, retail sales increased 0.4% from September to October (seasonally adjusted), and sales were up 3.9% from October 2012. From the Census Bureau report:

The U.S. Census Bureau announced today that advance estimates of U.S. retail and food services sales for October, adjusted for seasonal variation and holiday and trading-day differences, but not for price changes, were $428.1 billion, an increase of 0.4 percent from the previous month, and 3.9 percent above October 2012. ...The August to September 2013 percent change was revised from -0.1 percent to virtually unchanged.

Retail Sales Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows retail sales since 1992. This is monthly retail sales and food service, seasonally adjusted (total and ex-gasoline).

Retail sales are up 29.1% from the bottom, and now 13.2% above the pre-recession peak (not inflation adjusted)

Retail sales ex-autos increased 0.2%. 

Excluding gasoline, retail sales are up 26.5% from the bottom, and now 13.8% above the pre-recession peak (not inflation adjusted).

Year-over-year change in Retail SalesThe second graph shows the year-over-year change in retail sales and food service (ex-gasoline) since 1993.

Retail sales ex-gasoline increased by 5.4% on a YoY basis (3.9% for all retail sales).

This was above the consensus forecast of no change for retail sales.