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Monday, October 28, 2013

Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.6% in September

by Calculated Risk on 10/28/2013 09:15:00 AM

From the Fed: Industrial production and Capacity Utilization

Industrial production increased 0.6 percent in September following a gain of 0.4 percent in August. For the third quarter as a whole, industrial production rose at an annual rate of 2.3 percent. Manufacturing output edged up 0.1 percent in September following a gain of 0.5 percent in August, and increased at an annual rate of 1.2 percent for the third quarter. Production at mines moved up 0.2 percent in September and advanced at an annual rate of 12.9 percent for the third quarter. The output of utilities rose 4.4 percent in September following declines in each of the previous five months. The level of the index for total industrial production in September was equal to its 2007 average and was 3.2 percent above its year-earlier level. Capacity utilization for total industry moved up 0.4 percentage point to 78.3 percent, a rate 1.9 percentage points below its long-run (1972-2012) average
emphasis added
Capacity Utilization Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows Capacity Utilization. This series is up 11.0 percentage points from the record low set in June 2009 (the series starts in 1967).

Capacity utilization at 78.3% is still 1.9 percentage points below its average from 1972 to 2010 and below the pre-recession level of 80.8% in December 2007.

Note: y-axis doesn't start at zero to better show the change.

Industrial Production The second graph shows industrial production since 1967.

Industrial production increased 0.6% in September to 100.0. This is 19.4% above the recession low, but still 0.8% below the pre-recession peak.

The monthly change for both Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization were above expectations. The consensus was for a 0.4% increase in Industrial Production in September, and for Capacity Utilization to increase to 78.0%.