Friday, May 31, 2013

Final May Consumer Sentiment increases to 84.5, Chicago PMI increases sharply to 58.7

by Calculated Risk on 5/31/2013 10:00:00 AM

Consumer Sentiment
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• The final Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for May increased to 84.5 from the April reading of 76.4, and up from the preliminary reading of 83.7. This is the highest level since July 2007.

This was above the consensus forecast of 83.7. Sentiment has generally been improving following the recession - with plenty of ups and downs - and one big spike down when Congress threatened to "not pay the bills" in 2011.

• From the Chicago ISM:

May 2013:

The Chicago Purchasing Managers reported April's Chicago Business Barometer sprung 9.7 to 58.7, the highest since March 2012 and in sharp contrast to April's 3-1/2 year low. All Business Activity measures surged in May, reversing weakness seen in most categories in March and April.
PMI: Increased to 58.7 from 49.0. (Above 50 is expansion).

Employment increased to 56.9, up from 48.7.

New orders increased to 58.1 from 53.2.

This was well above the consensus estimate of 50.0.