by Calculated Risk on 4/30/2013 09:00:00 AM
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for February ("February" is a 3 month average of December, January and February).
This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, and two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities).
Note: Case-Shiller reports Not Seasonally Adjusted (NSA), I use the SA data for the graphs.
From S&P: Home Prices Rise in February 2013 According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
Data through February 2013, released today by S&P Dow Jones Indices for its S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices ... showed average home prices increased 8.6% and 9.3% for the 10- and 20-City Composites in the 12 months ending in February 2013. The 10- and 20-City Composites rose 0.4% and 0.3% from January to February.Click on graph for larger image.
“Home prices continue to show solid increases across all 20 cities,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “The 10- and 20-City Composites recorded their highest annual growth rates since May 2006; seasonally adjusted monthly data show all 20 cities saw higher prices for two months in a row – the last time that happened was in early 2005.
“Phoenix, San Francisco, Las Vegas and Atlanta were the four cities with the highest year-over-year price increases. Atlanta recovered from a wave of foreclosures in 2012 while the other three were among the hardest hit in the housing collapse. At the other end of the rankings, three older cities – New York, Boston and Chicago – saw the smallest year-over-year price improvements.
The first graph shows the nominal seasonally adjusted Composite 10 and Composite 20 indices (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).
The Composite 10 index is off 28.4% from the peak, and up 1.2% in February (SA). The Composite 10 is up 8.6% from the post bubble low set in Feb 2012 (SA).
The Composite 20 index is off 27.5% from the peak, and up 1.2% (SA) in February. The Composite 20 is up 9.4% from the post-bubble low set in Jan 2012 (SA).
The second graph shows the Year over year change in both indices.
The Composite 10 SA is up 8.6% compared to February 2012.
The Composite 20 SA is up 9.3% compared to February 2012. This was the ninth consecutive month with a year-over-year gain and this was the largest year-over-year gain for the Composite 20 index since 2006.
Prices increased (SA) in 20 of the 20 Case-Shiller cities in February seasonally adjusted (prices increased in 12 of 20 cities NSA). Prices in Las Vegas are off 55.0% from the peak, and prices in Denver only off 1.0% from the peak.
This was just above the consensus forecast for a 9.0% YoY increase. I'll have more on prices later.