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Wednesday, August 08, 2012

Fannie Mae reports $5.1 Billion Net Income, Improvement due to increase in house prices, REO sales prices

by Calculated Risk on 8/08/2012 10:05:00 AM

From Fannie Mae: Fannie Mae Reports Net Income of $5.1 Billion for Second Quarter 2012

The company’s continued improvement in financial results in the second quarter of 2012 was almost entirely due to credit-related income, resulting primarily from an improvement in home prices, improved sales prices on the company’s real-estate owned (“REO”) properties, and a decline in the company’s single-family serious delinquency rate. The company’s comprehensive income of $5.4 billion in the second quarter of 2012 is sufficient to pay its second-quarter dividend of $2.9 billion to the Department of the Treasury.
These are key points - the improvement was due to 1) an increase in home prices, 2) improved sales prices of REO, and 3) decline in serious delinquency rate.

Here are some more details from the Fannie Mae's SEC filing 10-Q:
The significant improvement in our second quarter results was primarily due to recognition of a benefit for credit losses of $3.0 billion in the second quarter of 2012 compared with a provision for credit losses of $6.5 billion in the second quarter of 2011. This benefit for credit losses was due to a decrease in our total loss reserves driven primarily by an improvement in the profile of our single-family book of business resulting from an increase in actual home prices, including the sales prices of our REO properties. In addition, our single-family serious delinquency rate continued to decline, driven in large part by the quality and growth of our new single-family book of business, our modification efforts and current period foreclosures. Key factors impacting our credit-related results include:

Home prices increased by 3.2% in the second quarter of 2012 compared with 1.2% in the second quarter of 2011. We historically see seasonal improvement in home prices in the second quarter; however, the home price increase in the second quarter of 2012 was larger than expected and the largest quarterly increase we have seen in the last few years. Higher home prices decrease the likelihood that loans will default and reduce the amount of credit loss on loans that do default.

Sales prices on dispositions of our REO properties improved in the second quarter of 2012 as a result of strong demand. We received net proceeds from our REO sales equal to 59% of the loans’ unpaid principal balance in the second quarter of 2012, compared with 56% in the first quarter of 2012 and 54% in the second quarter of 2011.

• Our single-family serious delinquency rate declined to 3.53% as of June 30, 2012 from 3.67% as of March 31, 2012 and 4.08% as of June 30, 2011.
Fannie REO sales price Click on graph for larger image.

This graph from the Fannie Mae Second-Quarter Credit Supplement shows the REO sales price divided by the Unpaid Principal Balance (UPB). Fannie is losing less on each REO due to a combination of slightly higher house prices and strong investor demand.

Also, Fannie Mae' REO inventory declined in Q2 to 109,266 houses, the lowest level since 2009. I'll have more REO soon.