Monday, July 30, 2012

Lawler on Manufactured Housing

by Calculated Risk on 7/30/2012 01:47:00 PM

From Tom Lawler:

The Commerce Department estimated that manufactured housing shipments ran at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 54,000 in June, down from 56,000 in May. In the first five months of 2012 manufactured housing shipments ran at a SAAR of 57,000, up from 51,600 in 2011 but just a fraction of the pace prior to last decade’s collapse.

The Commerce Department also estimated that manufactured housing placements ran at a SAAR of 47,000 in May, down from 51,000 in April. In the first five months of 2012 manufactured housing shipments ran at a SAAR of 52,200, up from 47,000 in 2011.

Manufactured Housing Shipments (Annual Average, 000's)
1961-1970255.6
1971-1980348.5
1981-1990243.7
1991-2000296.8
2001-2006154
2006-201078.9
201151.6
2012YTD57


Manufactured Housing Click on graph for larger image.

Here is a graph from Lawler showing the annual manufactured housing shipments since 1959. The column for 2012 is the annual sales rate for the first six months of the year.

Although sales are running at about a 10% increase over last year, shipments in 2012 will still be the fourth lowest on record behind only 2009, 2010, and 2011.