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Wednesday, February 08, 2012

Las Vegas House sales up 12% YoY in January, Inventory off sharply

by Calculated Risk on 2/08/2012 04:24:00 PM

This is a key distressed market to follow since Las Vegas has seen the largest price decline of any of the Case-Shiller composite 20 cities. Prices, as of the November report, were off 61.6% from the peak according to Case-Shiller, and off 9.2% over the last year. Prices just keep falling. Sales in 2011 were at record levels, more than during the bubble, and it looks like 2012 will be an even stronger year.

From the LVGAR: GLVAR January 2012 Housing Statistics

GLVAR reported that 48,186 local properties were sold in 2011, including 38,153 single-family homes and 10,033 condominiums and townhomes. That broke GLVAR’s all-time sales record set in 2009, when it reported 46,879 total sales. In 2010, GLVAR reported 43,877 total sales.

“At the rate we’re going, 2012 has the potential to be another record sales year,” she said.

According to GLVAR, the total number of local homes, condominiums and townhomes sold in the traditionally slow sales month of January was 3,591. That’s down from 4,250 in December 2011, but up from 3,214 total sales in January 2011.
The total number of homes listed for sale on GLVAR’s Multiple Listing Service decreased from December to January, with a total of 19,160 single-family homes listed for sale at the end of the month. That’s down 0.4 percent from 19,230 single-family homes listed for sale at the end of December and down 12.9 percent from one year ago. GLVAR reported a total of 4,133 condos and townhomes listed for sale on its MLS at the end of January. That’s up 1.8 percent from 4,061 condos and townhomes listed in December, but down 25.6 percent from one year ago.
In January, GLVAR reported that 52.5 percent of all existing homes sold in Southern Nevada were purchased with cash. That’s up from 50.8 percent in December. Meanwhile, 28.1 percent of all existing local homes sold during January were short sales ... Bank-owned homes accounted for 45.5 percent of all existing home sales in January, down from 46.0 percent in December 2011.
So 73.6% of the sales were distressed, and over half were purchased with cash.

One of the keys is the decline in inventory. Note that the GLVAR reports both total inventory, and inventory excluding "contingent" listings (usually short sales). Total single family inventory was down 12.9% from a year ago, and excluding contingent listings, inventory was down 35.8%!