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Sunday, September 18, 2011

Greece, again

by Calculated Risk on 9/18/2011 08:57:00 PM

From the WSJ: Greece Seeks Further Cuts

Greece's government held an emergency cabinet meeting Sunday to plan new measures to bring its unruly budget deficit into line, after heated warnings from the other euro-zone nations over the weekend that its efforts were insufficient and might threaten the delivery of future aid.

During a late-evening break in the meeting, Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos pledged that Greece would adopt a raft of new budget-cutting measures endorsed by the "troika" ... Greece agreed in March this year to lay off 80,000 public-sector workers by 2015. But the government has also hired around 25,000 new workers in the past two years to fill shortages in select areas of the public sector.

Now, with Greece unlikely to meet its deficit targets this year, the troika has upped the target for public-sector layoffs to 100,000 ...
The population of Greece is around 11.3 million, so this is similar to about 3 million layoffs in the U.S.

From the NY Times: Greece Nears a Tipping Point in Its Debt Crisis
The Greeks face an October deadline to qualify for 8 billion euros, or $11 billion, in aid, without which Greece will certainly default on its growing debt.

The payment is just one installment in a larger package of 110 billion euros in aid agreed to by euro zone members in spring 2010; a second bailout fund, for 109 billion euros, was agreed to in July, though that has yet to be ratified.

To reach the financial targets, Greek leaders discussed a range of draconian layoffs and pay reductions ... While these measures have long been planned, but never carried out, to the frustration of foreign lenders, the discussion of these cuts represented a marked change in approach for the Greek government, with the emphasis on reductions over revenue increases.
The Greek 2 year yield declined to 55%. The Greek 1 year yield is at 110%. Both significantly off the highs.

Summary for Week ending September 16th
Schedule for Week of Sept 18th
• Links for Sovereign Debt Series