Friday, February 25, 2011

Total REO: Private Label, Banks, and "Fs"

by Bill McBride on 2/25/2011 04:54:00 PM

Yesterday I noted that the combined REO (Real Estate Owned) inventory for Fannie, Freddie and the FHA increased 71% compared to Q4 2009 (year-over-year comparison). As I noted, this is just a portion of the total REO inventory. Private label securities and banks and thrifts also hold a substantial number of REOs.

Total REO Inventory Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

This graph from economist Tom Lawler shows an estimate of all the REO inventory. Lawler writes:

Based on the FDIC’s QBP report, as well as preliminary data on REO for private-label securities (using Barclay’s Capital data, as I don’t have data from my other source yet), REO inventory at “the F’s,” FDIC-insured institutions, and PLS would look as follows [see graph]
From CR: REO inventory is still below the levels in 2008 - but not much - and that was when prices were falling quickly. I think the various lenders are a little more careful disposing of REOs now, but the level of REOs suggest downward house price pressure.

Fannie Freddie FHA REO Inventory The 2nd graph (repeated from yesterday) just shows the REO inventory for Fannie, Freddie and FHA through Q4 2010.

The REO inventory for the "Fs" has increased sharply over the last year, from 172,368 at the end of 2009 to a record 295,307 at the end of 2010. Although this slowed in Q4 - as the "Fs" slowed foreclosures - this will probably increase some more in 2011.